Schedule (subject to change!)
Warning: Dates in the future (in particular, assignment release and due dates) will sometimes change to adjust to the pace I cover the material.
Note: files for assignments under Files
.
Note: Unless noted otherwise, readings are in 'The Bayesian Choice', C.P. Robert.
Meeting | Notes | Topics | Readings | Homework (out) | Homework (due) |
02/25 | Overview, logistics, foundational concepts based on a discrete example | Chapter 3 | Exercise 1 | ||
02/27 | Prediction, calibration, credible intervals, goodness-of-fit/predictive checks, debugging Bayesian code, | ||||
03/04 | Project idea discussion during office hours | Doob, well/mis-specified divide, unidentifiability | 4.1, 5.5 | Exercise 1 | |
03/06 | Bernstein von-Mises, exchangeability, de Finetti, using Monte Carlo samples | Software install HW | |||
03/11 | Basic model building using JAGS (GLMs, AB testing) | 4.3, 4.4, 4.5 | Exercise 2 | Software install HW | |
03/13 | Hierarchical models | 10.2 | |||
03/18 | Project idea discussion during office hours | First look under the hood: slice sampling | Chapter 6 | Exercise 2 | |
03/20 | More advanced MCMC techniques: Parallel Tempering in Blang and HMC in Stan | ||||
03/25 | Decision theory | Chapter 2, 4.2 | Poject abstract due | ||
03/27 | Decision theory, continued. Clustering. Model selection. | Chapter 7 | Exercise 3 | ||
04/01 | Model selection, continued. | ||||
04/03 | Overview of further topics (from: reference priors, ABC, pseudo-marginal methods) | Exercise 3 | |||
04/24 | Project report |