Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

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Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

TitleEvaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2022
AuthorsCramer, EY, Ray, EL, Lopez, VK, Bracher, J, Brennen, A, Rivadeneira, AJCastro, Gerding, A, Gneiting, T, House, KH, Huang, Y, Jayawardena, D, Kanji, AH, Khandelwal, A, Le, K, Mühlemann, A, Niemi, J, Shah, A, Stark, A, Wang, Y, Wattanachit, N, Zorn, MW, Gu, Y, Jain, S, Bannur, N, Deva, A, Kulkarni, M, Merugu, S, Raval, A, Shingi, S, Tiwari, A, White, J, Abernethy, NF, Woody, S, Dahan, M, Fox, S, Gaither, K, Lachmann, M, Meyers, LAncel, Scott, JG, Tec, M, Srivastava, A, George, GE, Cegan, JC, Dettwiller, ID, England, WP, Farthing, MW, Hunter, RH, Lafferty, B, Linkov, I, Mayo, ML, Parno, MD, Rowland, MA, Trump, BD, Zhang-James, Y, Chen, S, Faraone, SV, Hess, J, Morley, CP, Salekin, A, Wang, D, Corsetti, SM, Baer, TM, Eisenberg, MC, Falb, K, Huang, Y, Martin, ET, McCauley, E, Myers, RL, Schwarz, T, Sheldon, D, Gibson, GCasey, Yu, R, Gao, L, Ma, Y, Wu, D, Yan, X, Jin, X, Wang, Y-X, Chen, YQ, Guo, L, Zhao, Y, Gu, Q, Chen, J, Wang, L, Xu, P, Zhang, W, Zou, D, Biegel, H, Lega, J, McConnell, S, Nagraj, VP, Guertin, SL, Hulme-Lowe, C, Turner, SD, Shi, Y, Ban, X, Walraven, R, Hong, Q-J, Kong, S, van de Walle, A, Turtle, JA, Ben-Nun, M, Riley, S, Riley, P, Koyluoglu, U, DesRoches, D, Forli, P, Hamory, B, Kyriakides, C, Leis, H, Milliken, J, Moloney, M, Morgan, J, Nirgudkar, N, Ozcan, G, Piwonka, N, Ravi, M, Schrader, C, Shakhnovich, E, Siegel, D, Spatz, R, Stiefeling, C, Wilkinson, B, Wong, A, Cavany, S, España, G, Moore, S, Oidtman, R, Perkins, A, Kraus, D, Kraus, A, Gao, Z, Bian, J, Cao, W, Ferres, JLavista, Li, C, Liu, T-Y, Xie, X, Zhang, S, Zheng, S, Vespignani, A, Chinazzi, M, Davis, JT, Mu, K, Pastore y Piontti, A, Xiong, X, Zheng, A, Baek, J, Farias, V, Georgescu, A, Levi, R, Sinha, D, Wilde, J, Perakis, G, Bennouna, MAmine, Nze-Ndong, D, Singhvi, D, Spantidakis, I, Thayaparan, L, Tsiourvas, A, Sarker, A, Jadbabaie, A, Shah, D, Penna, NDella, Celi, LA, Sundar, S, Wolfinger, R, Osthus, D, Castro, L, Fairchild, G, Michaud, I, Karlen, D, Kinsey, M, Mullany, LC, Rainwater-Lovett, K, Shin, L, Tallaksen, K, Wilson, S, Lee, EC, Dent, J, Grantz, KH, Hill, AL, Kaminsky, J, Kaminsky, K, Keegan, LT, Lauer, SA, Lemaitre, JC, Lessler, J, Meredith, HR, Perez-Saez, J, Shah, S, Smith, CP, Truelove, SA, Wills, J, Marshall, M, Gardner, L, Nixon, K, Burant, JC, Wang, L, Gao, L, Gu, Z, Kim, M, Li, X, Wang, G, Wang, Y, Yu, S, Reiner, RC, Barber, R, Gakidou, E, Hay, SI, Lim, S, Murray, C, Pigott, D, Gurung, HL, Baccam, P, Stage, SA, Suchoski, BT, B. Prakash, A, Adhikari, B, Cui, J, Rodríguez, A, Tabassum, A, Xie, J, Keskinocak, P, Asplund, J, Baxter, A, Oruc, BEylul, Serban, N, Arik, SO, Dusenberry, M, Epshteyn, A, Kanal, E, Le, LT, Li, C-L, Pfister, T, Sava, D, Sinha, R, Tsai, T, Yoder, N, Yoon, J, Zhang, L, Abbott, S, Bosse, NI, Funk, S, Hellewell, J, Meakin, SR, Sherratt, K, Zhou, M, Kalantari, R, Yamana, TK, Pei, S, Shaman, J, Li, ML, Bertsimas, D, Lami, OSkali, Soni, S, Bouardi, HTazi, Ayer, T, Adee, M, Chhatwal, J, Dalgic, OO, Ladd, MA, Linas, BP, Mueller, P, Xiao, J, Wang, Y, Wang, Q, Xie, S, Zeng, D, Green, A, Bien, J, Brooks, L, Hu, AJ, Jahja, M, McDonald, D, Narasimhan, B, Politsch, C, Rajanala, S, Rumack, A, Simon, N, Tibshirani, RJ, Tibshirani, R, Ventura, V, Wasserman, L, O’Dea, EB, Drake, JM, Pagano, R, Tran, QT, Ho, LSi Tung, Huynh, H, Walker, JW, Slayton, RB, Johansson, MA, Biggerstaff, M, Reich, NG
JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Volume119
Paginatione2113561119
URLhttps://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2113561119