Publications by Paul Gustafson
2012
Partial identification arising from nondifferential exposure misclassification: how informative are data on the unlikely, maybe, and likely exposed?. The international journal of biostatistics. 2012; 8. DOI: 10.1515/1557-4679.1397 .
A Bayesian method for estimating prevalence in the presence of a hidden sub-population. Statistics in Medicine. Wiley Online Library; 2012; 31: 2386–2398. DOI: 10.1002/sim.5374 .
SBSA: Simplified Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis [Internet]. 2012. URL: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=SBSA .
On the detectability of different forms of interaction in regression models. Metrika. Springer; 2012; 75: 347–365. DOI: 10.1007/s00184-010-0330-8 .
Hierarchical priors for bias parameters in Bayesian sensitivity analysis for unmeasured confounding. Statistics in Medicine. 2012; 31: 383–396. DOI: 10.1002/sim.4453 .
Association between use of interferon beta and progression of disability in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association [Internet]. American Medical Association; 2012; 308: 247–256. DOI: 10.1001/jama.2012.7625 URL: http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=1217239 .
Double-robust estimators: Slightly more Bayesian than meets the eye?. International Journal of Biostatistics. 2012; 8: issue 2, article 4. DOI: 10.2202/1557-4679.1349 .
On the behaviour of Bayesian credible intervals in partially identified models. Electronic Journal of Statistics [Internet]. 2012; 6: 2107-2124. DOI: 10.1214/12-EJS741 URL: projecteuclid.org/euclid.ejs/1351865119 .
Double-robust estimators: slightly more Bayesian than meets the eye?. The international journal of biostatistics. 2012; 8: 1–15. DOI: 10.2202/1557-4679.1349 .
Is probabilistic bias analysis approximately Bayesian?. Epidemiology [Internet]. 2012; 23: 151. DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e31823b539c URL: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e31823b539c .
2011
Comment on `Transparent parameterizations of models for potential outcomes,' by Richardson, Evans, and Robins. In: Bayesian Statistics 9: Proceedings of the Ninth Valencia International Meeting. Oxford University Press; 2011. .
"Bayesian inference of gene-environment interaction from incomplete data: What happens when information on environment is disjoint from data on gene and disease?. Statistics in Medicine [Internet]. 2011; 30: 877-889. DOI: 10.1002/sim.4176 URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.4176/abstract .
Bayesian adjustment for measurement error in continuous exposures in an individually matched case-control study. BMC Medical Research Methodology [Internet]. BioMed Central Ltd; 2011; 11: 67. DOI: 10.1186/1471-2288-11-67 URL: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2288/11/6 .
Regression with fractional polynomials when interactions are erroneously omitted. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. Elsevier; 2011;. DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2011.12.012 .
Discussion of" Bayesian local influence for survival models," by Ibrahim, Zhu, and Tang. Lifetime data analysis. Springer Science & Business Media; 2011; 17: 71. DOI: 10.1007/s10985-010-9173-x .
Assessing large sample bias in misspecified model scenarios with reference to exposure model misspecification in errors-in-variable regression: A new computational approach. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. Elsevier; 2011; 141: 1161–1169. DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2010.09.017 .
2010
Expanding access to HAART: a cost-effective approach for treating and preventing HIV. Aids. LWW; 2010; 24: 1929–1935. DOI: 10.1097/qad.0b013e32833af85d .
Bayesian adjustment for exposure misclassification in case-control studies. Statistics in Medicine. 2010; 29: 994-1003. DOI: 10.1002/sim.3829 .
Impact of outcome model misspecification on regression and doubly-robust inverse probability weighting to estimate causal effect. The international journal of biostatistics. 2010; 6. DOI: 10.2202/1557-4679.1207 .
Impact of outcome model misspecification on regression and doubly-robust inverse probability weighting to estimate causal effect. International Journal of Biostatistics. 2010; 6: issue 2 article 15. DOI: 10.2202/1557-4679.1207 .
Probabilistic approaches to better quantifying the results of epidemiologic studies. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2010; 7: 1520-1539. DOI: 10.3390/ijerph7041520 .
Simplified Bayesian sensitivity analysis for mismeasured and unobserved confounders. Biometrics. 2010; 66: 1129-1137. DOI: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2009.01377.x .
Bayesian inference for partially identified models. International Journal of Biostatistics. 2010; 6: issue 2 article 17. DOI: 10.2202/1557-4679.1206 .
Bayesian inference for partially identified models. The international journal of biostatistics. 2010; 6. DOI: 10.2202/1557-4679.1206 .
2009
Bayesian propensity score analysis. Statistics in Medicine. 2009; 28: 94-112. .
Covariate balance in a Bayesian propensity score analysis of beta blocker therapy in heart failure patients. Epidemiological Perspectives and Innovations. BioMed Central Ltd; 2009; 6: article 5. DOI: 10.1186/1742-5573-6-5 .
Interval estimation for messy observational data. Statistical Science [Internet]. 2009; 24: 328-342. DOI: 10.1214/09-sts305 URL: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ss/1270041259 .
Bayesian analysis of a matched case-control study with expert prior information on both the misclassification of exposure and the exposure-disease association. Statistics in Medicine [Internet]. 2009; 28: 3411-3423. DOI: 10.1002/sim.3694 URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.3694/abstract .
Bayesian adjustment for covariate measurement errors: a flexible parametric approach. Statistics in Medicine. 2009; 28: 1580-1600. DOI: 10.1002/sim.3552 .
What are the limits of posterior distributions arising from nonidentified models, and why should we care?. Journal of the American Statistical Association [Internet]. 2009; 104: 1682-1695. DOI: 10.1198/jasa.2009.tm08603 URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1198/jasa.2009.tm08603 .
2008
A Bayesian multilevel model for estimating the diet/disease relationship in a multicenter study with exposures measured with error: the EPIC study. Statistics in medicine. Wiley Online Library; 2008; 27: 6037–6054. DOI: 10.1002/sim.3444 .
Bayesian multinomial regression with class-specific predictor selection. The Annals of Applied Statistics. JSTOR; 2008;: 1478–1502. DOI: 10.1214/08-aoas188 .
A sensitivity analysis using information about measured confounders yielded improved assessments of uncertainty from unmeasured confounding. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. Elsevier; 2008; 61: 247-255. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2007.05.006 .
On Average Predictive Comparisons and Interactions. International Statistical Review. 2008; 76: 419�432. DOI: 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2008.00056.x .
Use of instrumental variables in the analysis of generalized linear models in the presence of unmeasured confounding with applications to epidemiological research. Statistics in Medicine. 2008; 27: 1539-1556. DOI: 10.1002/sim.3036 .
2007
On robustness and model flexibility in survival analysis: transformed hazards models and average effects. Biometrics. 2007; 63: 69-77. DOI: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2006.00679.x .
Measurement error modeling with an approximate instrumental variable. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B. 2007; 69: 797-815. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00611.x .
Bayesian sensitivity analysis for unmeasured confounding in observational studies. Statistics in Medicine. 2007; 26: 2331-2347. DOI: 10.1002/sim.2711 .
Describing the dynamics of attention to TV commercials: A hierarchical Bayes analysis of the time to zap an ad. Journal of Applied statistics. Taylor & Francis; 2007; 34: 585–609. DOI: 10.1080/02664760701235279 .
The application of Bayesian analysis to issues in developmental research. International Journal of Behavioral Development. Sage Publications; 2007; 31: 366–373. DOI: 10.1177/0165025407077763 .
Regression B-spline smoothing in Bayesian disease mapping: with an application to patient safety surveillance. Statistics in medicine. Wiley Online Library; 2007; 26: 4455–4474. DOI: 10.1002/sim.2868 .
2006
An innovative application of Bayesian disease mapping methods to patient safety research: A Canadian adverse medical event study. Statistics in medicine. Wiley Online Library; 2006; 25: 3960–3980. DOI: 10.1002/sim.2507 .
Accounting for independent nondifferential misclassification does not increase certainty than an observed association is in the correct direction. American Journal of Epidemiology. 2006; 164: 63-68. DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwj155 .
Sample size implications when biases are modelled rather than ignored. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A. 2006; 169: 883-902. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00436.x .
The performance of random coefficient regression in accounting for residual confounding. Biometrics. 2006; 62: 760-768. DOI: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00510.x .
Curious phenomena in Bayesian adjustment for exposure misclassification. Statistics in Medicine. 2006; 25: 87-103. DOI: 10.1002/sim.2341 .
Conservative prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models. Canadian Journal of Statistics. Wiley Online Library; 2006; 34: 377–390. DOI: 10.1002/cjs.5550340302 .
Neonatal intensive care unit characteristics affect the incidence of severe intraventricular hemorrhage. Medical care. LWW; 2006; 44: 754–759. DOI: 10.1097/01.mlr.0000218780.16064.df .
2005
The utility of prior information and stratification for parameter estimation with two screening tests but no gold standard. Statistics in Medicine. 2005; 24: 1203-1217. DOI: 10.1002/sim.2002 .
On model expansion, model contraction, identifiability, and prior information: two illustrative scenarios involving mismeasured variables (with discussion). Statistical Science. 2005; 20: 111-140. .